Furthermore according to Yin, homeowners look for a new place to live every 7-10 years on average and as a result over the next 10 years we can expect anywhere from 50 million to 70 million home sales !  Wow !!

 As listed in the Portland Business Journal, The “Green Cities Index” ranks metro areas on a variety of environmental factors, including traffic congestion, transit use, water quality, carbon emissions, LEED-certified projects and number of “green” jobs. Read more here: http://portland.bizjournals.com/portland/stories/2010/03/08/daily51.html?ed=2010-03-12&ana=e_du_pub

Portland has appeared at or near the top many times on many surveys.  At the same time Portland ranked 8th in the country for public transportation use.   More info on our transit system can be found at www.trimet.org

Given the population from the 2000 census being at 1.93 Million, projections are there is a 90% chance that in the year 2030 (only 21 years from today) the population could be as much as 3.2 Million (between 2.9m and 3.2m), and in 2060 between 3.61 & 4.38 Million.

The forecasts are for the seven county area of the Portland-Vancouver(WA)-Beaverton MSA and include the counties of Multnomah, Clackamas, Washington, Yamhill & Columbia in Oregon and Clark and Scamania in Washington.

With our urban growth boundary, the question remains... Where do we put them all ?  But the bigger question from Portland's top Prudential Realtor's point of veiw is what do I tell my clients when they ask me to look inside my crystal ball and predict where prices will go in the next several years.  Clearly with our land use restrictions, booming population and UGB (urban growth boundary) our prices have no place to go but up in the long run.  In fact even in our slower market, the last 8 weeks have been very busy for us on the Rob Levy team to the extent we just hired a new assistant / office manager to keep up with all the sales.

Clearly in my mind, both from my personal and professional experience, there has not been a better time to invest in the future of Portland.  Prices are down,rates are down, inventory is high and we know the future is bright.

For more information or to find some homes that really make sense to buy now, give us a call.  As Portland's top selling Prudential Real Estate team for two years running and with over 20 years experience.

Please listen to my podcast all about the $8,000 credit at http://www.roblevy.com/agent_files/talkrealty/player.htm

CLICK HERE to see the actual IRS form to claim the credit

We had a busy few weeks at the RobLevy team and again were #1 in the Portland area for Prudential Real Estate.  In fact, we have written more offers in the last 10 days than in the last 90 days.  It does seem to be picking up and the information above validates this.

If you know of anyone who could qualify as a first time home buyer (generally meaning someone who hasnt owned a home in more than three years), please

Portland Oregon offers great skiing...  The Mount Hood areas are 45 minutes to 1.25 hours away and offer all types of terrain, spectacular views, and lots of night skiing too.  In fact, one area has the largest lighted night ski area in North America.

The three main areas are Mount Hood Meadows.  This is my favourite and where I have my pass.  Its the farthest from Portland but I think has the best combination of lots of lifts, varied terrain and lighted night areas.

There is also historic Timberline lodge, this area also has several high speed lifts, and the historic lodge too.

Last but not least there is Mt Hood Ski Bowl.  Lower down the snow is sometimes damp, and the lifts are slower but thre is a combination of challenging terrain and beginner terrain.

We are lucky to live where we do here....  Its so close, I often leave work early and go up and snowboard for a while, then eat dinner, go out some more and come home.  Other days I head up early get in a couple of hours and come back and am at work by lunchtime.

There are of course many cross country areas too, its all in the Mount Hood National Forest...

So if you are thinking of moving to Portland or are a current resident, think about our gorgeous extinct volcano to the east...  We see it every day but not so many of us use it.

Here is a direct quote from Mr. Yun....   . “Given so much stimulus package discussion in January, some would-be buyers simply sat out for clarity and certainty on the nature of housing stimulus,” he said. “The housing market will soon get a lift from very favorable buying conditions – not only from improved affordability, but also from the stimulus of an $8,000 first-time home buyer tax credit, and higher conforming loan limits that will allow more people to tap into 50-year low mortgage rates.”  The entire article can be seen by clicking here.  

As Portland's top Prudential Realtor, we are (finally) starting to see some movement in the starter home market which has been slow of late due in part from buyers not knowing about what is available to them, and also from investors not being able to buy due to the new limits on loans available for owners of more than four homes.  Both these issues have been alleviated somewhat in recent days.

For more information on the Portland, Oregon real estate market or to receive a list of homes available that meet your needs, or even a list of bank owned homes, contact us today.

Forbes Magazine has listed Portland as the 5th best city to buy a house in the United States for 2009.   Its an interesting list in that they excluded many cities where prices have plummeted such as Phoenix, or Las Vegas as they want areas where buyers can build equity in a stable area. You can read the Forbes article here.

To see the actual index, click on this link  and you can scroll through the cities listed.

The Portland area continues to win awards or be selected from everything as the greenest city in the US to the best city to raise a family.  Recently Portland was listed as one of the fastest growing cities from in-migration particularly from the educated early 30's crowd.

If you want more information on the Portland area and are considering a move here, email me and I will send you a link to our relocation guide.

Here are the facts....

• In 1998, 120 children ages 14 and under died from falls. Children ages 4 and under accounted for more than half of these deaths. 
• Each year, more than 2.5 million children ages 14 and under are treated in hospital emergency rooms for fall-related injuries. Children ages 5 and under account for more than half of these injuries. 
• Nine percent of fall-related injuries associated with products (e.g., baby walkers, windows, playground equipment) result in hospitalization, more than two times the hospitalization rate of all other product-related injuries.

Now Oregon has revised the height requirement for window sills on floors that are above ground.  This is in direct relation to a series of deaths from small children falling from windows in 2008.  While this code isn't backwards enforceable, it's a good idea to review it if you have small children and make sure you have emergency escape mechanisms.   The full code can be read HERE

The state of Oregon also has a page dedicated to this and discloses the following facts.  So again, if you have small children or if you are an investment property owner, please read this article by clicking HERE

For Portland its pretty good stuff.  What we didn't get is the $15,000 of assistance the Senate passed, and that's a shame because it would have applied to everyone who buys a home as a personal residence.  Its good for us because we have many good houses in the $230k - $300k range where the new credit makes sense.

What we DID get though is good.....  All first time buyers now have a one time $8,000 tax credit if they buy a house this year. This IS NOT A LOAN like last year's plan, but a true credit.  The house must have been closed between January 1st 2009 and December 31st 2009.   A first time home buyer according to the IRS is anyone who hasn't owned a home in the last three years.    It is income guided, so as a single person you have to have earned less than $95,000 or $170,000 if married, and you should check with your tax advisor to make sure you qualify.

I have already been contacted by a few of my clients who have children who are in the 21-24 year age range and are looking to buy a house.  This is a fantastic program for them to use.

I have been using sprint's 3G Rev-A service for about 3 years and have been delighted with it.  In fact, I am writing this article watching the USC/Washington basketball game with my tablet PC in my lap on my Sprint Broadband modem.

Yesterday I went snowboarding in the morning with a fellow Realtor and friend and while I drove he kept checking to see how far out of town he could get a reliable clear signal, and it went just past Gresham.  Pretty impressive really as the signal handed off from tower to tower as we drove and he had a signal several times more powerful than my 3g.  Coverage doesn't seam to be seamless, but its become a pretty good alternative to Comcast, Verizon or Quest - the old Portland standbys for coverage.

I do think this offers a viable alternative to Comcast, although for now I'm sticking with my Comcast cable and Sprint Modem.  The issue I have is I use Comcast at home and I can't share the Clear with a USB antenna they provide, so I dont see a way my wife and I could use it at the same time.   As for my Sprint Rev-A modem, I have to say I have been really impressed.  I use a tablet PC and visit many clients in their homes, and am continually using the service to sign and then email/efax off forms as needed.  I also travel somewhat as a real estate speaker and have yet to go anywhere in the USA where I cannot use the Sprint modem and get 3G coverage.  I'm continually impressed.

Having these services is important for Portland as a "tech" city.  So I thank Sprint, Verizon, T-Mobile, ATT and Cricket - and now Clearwire - for making us a leader in coverage for American cities. 

The article says we have a "thriving urban scene" and of course what are always known for, abundant outdoor recreation.  Being also ranked the #1 most sustainable city in the USA for 2006 this latest award simply adds to our continuing list of accolades.

To see the Money magazine article click HERE

To see the remaining 99 cities - the full list, click HERE

As always, you can search for homes in our fair city at any time by clicking HERE and see a map of all the homes that meet your criteria.

This is actually skewed by the Bend, Oregon market which was rated at one point as the most overpiced market in the USA and has seen prices drop a huge amount.  While THIS article is dated, it also was written about when prices started to fall.

Bottom line;  As I reported earlier, the Portland market is doing OK.  We are down from 2-7% depending if which data you are reading (NAR-Natiional Assn Realtors vs. Case-Shiller) but people are moving here.  My team and I are doing well.  As Portland's #1 Realtor for Prudential Northwest Properties, I can report that while our sales are down from last year, we are still selling houses.  Even NAR is reporting close to 5,000,000 home sales in 2008 and while that is down from close to 8,000,000 in recent years, it is still 5m people buying and selling homes.

Well, a large percentage of our buyers come from California. after all our population is about 3.7M and California's ( our next door neighbor) is almost 37M.  Historically a lot of people sell homes there and move here, but recently they have been unable to do so.

Recent posts indicate a change.  For example in the Palm Springs area sales are up a whopping 94.3% October 2008 vs. October 2007.  Some sites are reporting an 83.9% increase in sales in Orange County.  So you can see, we are directly affected.   Granted, when looking closer as much as 70% of the sales are "distressed" properties - meaning bank owned (REO), short sales or pre-foreclosures but the bottom line is the inventory is selling which means it is lowering.

The outlook for the Portland area remains the same with Metro Regional government still thinking there will be between 800,000 and 1,000,000 more residents moving to the tri-county area in the next 12-15 years.  They expect a huge majority of those people to come from California.

So lets hope those distressed properties keep selling, and then the folks who want to sell their homes and move up here start selling.  Then we will be back to normal.  With the recent huge drop in mortgage rates - currently 5.35% according to Shawn Headlee with Columbia Mortgage, this should start happening !

Enjoy the rest of your thanksgiving weekend !   ROB

As Prudential's top Realtor in the Portland, Oregon area and as a technology speaker travelling around the USA and Canada speaking to Realtor groups, I rely heavily on my phone as well, a phone  AND as an email device.  Using Microsoft exchange server I am able to see my emails in full HTML.  But the best part is the way PDF files are shown - its like looking at them right on my computer, I can even turn the phone sideways and see the file horizontally.  I just now reviewed a 47 page home inspection in full living colour, and then forwarded it on to the listing agent to review, all while taking a day off on the Oregon coast.  I get my faxes as PDF files and many agents now send documents via emailing PDF files so I truly dont need to drag along my laptop computer anymore.

Other features of the phone include applications such as Trulia's home search program where it uses the GPS function of the phone to locate itself and then show all the homes for sale around you.   There are also several mortgage calulators and more to dowload, and of course the Safari browser is a full-fledged internet browser.

For Realtors, or for anyone I can very strongly reccomend the iPhone 3g from Apple.

Interestingly (and with NO relation to real estate) when I arrived Sunday night in the lobby of the hotel, there was an Emmy award party going on.  I have never seen so many people dressed in such amazing gowns and tuxedos in my life !  And here I was in my travelling Khakis ( at least I wasnt in jeans :-) )

This year we heard from several speakers including John VanDerWall and Laurie Keenan the CEO and President of Prudential Real Estates Affiliates talking about the real estate market around the country.  Again, I count my blessings as we are very very lucky to live where we live.  There are many areas in Florida, California, Nevada and other states where people have lost their entire life savings in house devaluations.  In fact I did not know that 60% of all the foreclosures in the land are in two states - California and Florida.

The fundamentals in the Portland area remain the same.......  (1) We are an in-migration state where Metro (www.metroregion.org) is expecting somewhere from 750,000 - 1,000,000 more residents here within the next 12-15 years.  (2) Our economy is tied strongly to both the Asian and Canadian economies - both strong. (3) We were again voted the "Greenest" city in the Country.  (4) We are the #1 in migration city for the educated 28-40 year old group.   All of these factors and more equate to Portland is a place many people want to be.

I want to thank my team in this forum for it may say "Rob Levy" on the sign, but its Sandy, Sandra, Kate, Clinton and Alicia that really help make this happen.  So thanks to my team and thanks to the well over 100 people in 2007 who entrusted us with either helping them find a new home, or selling their exsisting one, or in many cases both!

As the Realtor population is shrinking, its more important now than ever to use an experienced Realtor in selling your home, or buying a new one.  Parade Magazine recently said to not hire a Realtor with less than 8 years in the business.  I have almost 20 - all with the same office - and when you add up the years my team has been in the business we are well over 50 years combined.