Sales seem to be soaring in some parts of Southern California - so why am I writing about this when I am a Realtor in Portland, Oregon?

Well, a large percentage of our buyers come from California. after all our population is about 3.7M and California's ( our next door neighbor) is almost 37M.  Historically a lot of people sell homes there and move here, but recently they have been unable to do so.

Recent posts indicate a change.  For example in the Palm Springs area sales are up a whopping 94.3% October 2008 vs. October 2007.  Some sites are reporting an 83.9% increase in sales in Orange County.  So you can see, we are directly affected.   Granted, when looking closer as much as 70% of the sales are "distressed" properties - meaning bank owned (REO), short sales or pre-foreclosures but the bottom line is the inventory is selling which means it is lowering.

The outlook for the Portland area remains the same with Metro Regional government still thinking there will be between 800,000 and 1,000,000 more residents moving to the tri-county area in the next 12-15 years.  They expect a huge majority of those people to come from California.

So lets hope those distressed properties keep selling, and then the folks who want to sell their homes and move up here start selling.  Then we will be back to normal.  With the recent huge drop in mortgage rates - currently 5.35% according to Shawn Headlee with Columbia Mortgage, this should start happening !

Enjoy the rest of your thanksgiving weekend !   ROB